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 Post subject: Re: Gemstones with most price rising potential
PostPosted: Thu Sep 02, 2021 1:24 am 
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Joined: Fri Nov 01, 2013 9:16 am
Posts: 239
Location: Germany
I would add Hauyn from Germany ;)

mines are closing or depleting and what is found is small and mostly not clean.

But normally all good quality gemstones rise in price.
Most problem is, as Barbra stated: If you want to cash out, you have to find someone who is paying the endcustomerprizes....

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 Post subject: Re: Gemstones with most price rising potential
PostPosted: Thu Sep 02, 2021 10:24 am 
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Joined: Thu May 12, 2016 2:18 am
Posts: 1542
glhays wrote:
Steve any wild predictions for the near future?


Many stone seem to have market characteristics like fashion does. They go through demand increases based on color, popular culture, and fads. I find these almost impossible to predict, and just go with the flow.

True and situational rarity is another one. Things like Alexandrite, Benitoite, Bixbyite and Hauyn are rare and likely will always be so. The public is not generally aware of these stones. There is not enough of them to make it economically profitable to promote them. This is kind of what happened to Tsavorite. At one time it was getting a lot of good promotion, became popular, most jewelry stores carried it. But, then supply dried up significantly. Now you really don't hear much about it, and rarely see it in the cases in jewelry stores. The price for normal stones has been stagnant for a long time. Rare stones will always have a following, but will not be promoted.

For long term appreciation I still lean towards the traditional stones, like Ruby, Emerald, Sapphire. There is always strong consumer demand for these. When you ask the public to name a stone in red, green, or blue, these are the names that come out of their mouths. This is pretty much true Globally in all locations, and cultures. Currently the mass distribution of these stones has been being met by advancements in treatments like heating and clarity enhancement. However, in the collector space these treatments are not well accepted. Natural, untreated, fine quality stones in these varieties are still very rare. Of those three, it seems to me that Ruby has the most potential for price appreciation. Currently the deposits in Mozambique are supplying the World. If not for those discoveries there would be huge supply shortages as the historical sources are not producing volume any more. The Mozambique deposits are alluvial. These kinds of deposits generally don't have long histories. They produce big volumes in the beginning and then play out quickly. On top of that, almost all the Mozambique stones need to be heat treated to achieve a good red color.

The real geologic investment gem for me still remains good old fashioned dirt, not gemstones. Real estate produces cash flow, tax benefits, they will never find more of it, and it appreciates consistently. Like writing a book you do the work once and it pays for life. For me dirt is investable, gemstones are transactional.

As an aside. When the Brazilian Paraiba Alexandrite was first discovered in the 1980s it produced amazing stones. I was able to buy some back then at good prices. It is the only Alexandrite I have seen that consistently had great color in all lights. Unfortunately, it played out quickly so not much volume in the market.


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